The U.S. Department of Labor anticipates that employment for USPS mail carriers will decline by 21 percent through 2028. The Postal Service expects mail volume to decrease during the next decade, primarily because of the increased competition from other delivery services, including automated and electronic bill pay and e-mail. Along with a decrease in mail volume will be an increase in the number of addresses to which mail must be delivered. However, automation advances in mail sorting will reduce the amount of time carriers spend sorting and give them more time to handle longer routes. Another trend that is expected to increase productivity and slow employment growth is the wider use of more centralized mail delivery, such as cluster boxes, to cut down on the number of door-to-door deliveries.
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